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Terranova, Roberta: Essays on the role of expectation dynamics, social influence and technology diffusion on efficiency, growth and inequality. 2021
Inhalt
Introduction
Does Investor Sentiment Drive M&As?
Introduction
Literature review
Sentiment measure
Data
Investor sentiment and M&As
What are the mechanisms at play?
Effect of investor sentiment on the announcement return
Short-run returns
Long-run returns
Conclusion
Appendix Data
Appendix Tables and figures
Endogenous Beliefs and Social Influence
Introduction
Literature Review
The Model
Households' consumption on island i
Production on island i
Endogenous beliefs and switching mechanism
Three types of endogenous belief
Switching mechanism
Sentiment dynamics
No social influence
Dynamics with social influence
Social influence as a coordination device and its impact on production and welfare
Conclusions
Appendix Derivation of formulas
Neutral belief benchmark
Expected productivity
Profits
Expected profits of pessimistic and optimistic islands
The one-dimensional dynamics from discrete to continuous time
Welfare
Expected output and welfare
Appendix Proofs
Proof of proposition 1
Proof of Proposition 2
Proof of Proposition 3
Proof of Proposition 4
Result on welfare
Appendix Robustness
Difference in expected profits of neutral and pessimistic islands, for different parameters
Sentiment dynamics without social influence
Sentiment dynamics with social influence
Concentration, Stagnation and Inequality
Introduction
Theoretical roots
The formal model: key features and properties
Existing literature
Model setup
Sequence of events
Corporate sector
Household sector
Banking sector
Public sector
Simulation results
Calibration and initialization
Empirical validation
Economic analysis
Policy experiments
Can concentration be good for the economy?
Conclusion
Appendix Accounting and balance sheets
Appendix Parameter setting
Bibliography