TY - GEN AB - There are different approaches for the detection of market phase changes in stock markets. Most of them utilize various assumptions and constraints which makes these methods somewhat arbitrary. This paper develops an algorithm which identifies bull and bear markets retrospectively in a very robust way without using exogenous parameters. At the same time the algorithm is very easy to execute, can be applied to several time series frequencies and is intended to identify rather longer subperiods than shorter ones. Knowing the different phases one can investigate a multitude of characteristics of bull and bear markets. DA - 2018 DO - 10.4119/unibi/2916849 KW - bull market KW - bear market KW - time series KW - algorithm KW - market phase changes LA - eng PY - 2018 SN - 2196-2723 SP - 21- TI - Retrospective Identification of Bull and Bear Markets: A new, but simple Algorithm UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0070-pub-29168499 Y2 - 2024-11-22T09:08:01 ER -