TY  - JOUR
AB  - We investigate the hot hand hypothesis in professional darts in a nearly ideal setting with minimal to no interaction between players. Considering almost 1 year of tournament data, corresponding to 167492 dart throws in total, we use state space models to investigate serial dependence in throwing performance. In our models, a latent state process serves as a proxy for a player's underlying form, and we use auto-regressive processes to model how this process evolves over time. Our results regarding the persistence of the latent process indicate a weak hot hand effect, but the evidence is inconclusive.
DA  - 2020
DO  - 10.1111/rssa.12527
KW  - Hidden Markov model
KW  - Hot hand
KW  - Sports statistics
KW  - State space model
KW  - Time series
LA  - eng
IS  - 2
M2  - 565
PY  - 2020
SN  - 0964-1998
SP  - 565-580
T2  - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A
TI  - The hot hand in professional darts
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0070-pub-29391716
Y2  - 2024-11-22T04:48:54
ER  -