TY  - GEN
AB  - A designer conducts random searches to detect criminals, and may condition the
search probability on individuals' appearance. She updates her belief about the
distribution of criminals across appearances using her search results, but incorrectly
takes her sample distribution for the population distribution. In equilibrium she
employs optimal search probabilities given her belief, and her belief is consistent
with her findings. We show that she will be discriminating an appearance if and only
if she overestimates the probability of this appearance's being criminal. Moreover,
in a linear model, tightening her budget will worsen the situation of those most
discriminated against.
DA  - 2021
KW  - Biased inference
KW  - police search
KW  - naἴve intuitive statistics
KW  - racial profiling
KW  - discrimination
LA  - eng
PY  - 2021
SN  - 0931-6558
SP  - 26-
TI  - From prejudice to racial profiling and back. A naἴve intuitive statistician's curse
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0070-pub-29521893
Y2  - 2024-12-25T19:19:43
ER  -