TY  - THES
AB  - In this doctoral thesis consisting of four thematically linked essays, the informational and political aspects of central bank forecasts, in particular of density forecasts for inflation and output growth, are analyzed using statistical methods. The evaluation of the information content of macroeconomic risk forecasts, the analysis of the determinants of the shape of
inflation fan charts, the impact of the interest rate assumption on the forecast accuracy of central bank forecasts and the relevance of uncertainty and risk forecasts for monetary policy decisions are the pillars of this work. Surveys of the international practice of central bank forecasting with respect to these issues complement the empirical parts of the studies.
AU  - Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
DA  - 2013
KW  - Inflation
KW  - Dichteprognose
KW  - Risikoprognose
KW  - Prognoseunsicherheit
KW  - Zinspfad
KW  - inflation
KW  - density forecast
KW  - risk forecast
KW  - forecast uncertainty
KW  - interest rate path
LA  - eng
PY  - 2013
TI  - Essays on central bank forecasting
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hbz:467-7992
Y2  - 2024-11-22T07:35:18
ER  -